Whether to believe in Global Warming

The problem with global warming and the Al Gore stuff is that you really have NO way of checking if this stuff is true. And let’s face it, we’ve been had royally in the past (e.g. 1970’s energy crisis) Even if you read the actual scientific papers (where can you find those anyway) rather than journalistic/political boil-down , how do you know that the scientists are not being paid by self-interested politicians?
I find the psychology of why someone would fake this stuff the most persuasive thing.
Why would someone want to fake this stuff? There are arguments on both sides – profits from Green products, do-goodism, scare-mongering journalists wanting to sell papers – or on the other side, Oil profits, laziness and wanting to be elected. To take another example – the Church says your kid goes to hell if he isn’t Christened and you do if you don’t go to church on Sundays (NB not Saturdays). If seen as the attempt of Roman Emporer, part time fratricidal maniac and first head of the church, Constantine to control a failing Roman Empire, subsequently propogated through the generations by fear-mongering and clever viral marketing techniques like christening, completely loses any credibility and in fact looks distinctly dodgy. In other words seeing the obvious hidden motives behind an argument or movement can help you to see its likely validity independently of its content.
The book Collapse by Jared Diamond goes into why people tend to be myopic in their use of resources and how this has led to the collapse of various civilisations in the past, despite the fact that these people obviously knew the consequences of their resource use. I found it very persuasive.
So overall, even though I don’t trust media reports at all, I tend to believe the Global Warming hype.

Birth Control

I’ve blogged on this before but it’s such crucial issue I’m going to go on about it. I really think birth control is the solution to so many of our problems. Here’s a few:

  • Climate Change – is a caused by a combination of behaviour changes (mainly fossil fuel usage) and the HUGE increase in the world population in the last century. If the population keeps going up as much as it is, then no amount of behaviour changes will help and if we could reduce it, we wouldn’t need such drastic measures as not visiting our relatives by plane.
  • Species Loss – obvious
  • Water shortages – obvious
  • War – I’m very convinced by Jared Diamond’s arguments which show the clear link between competition for resources and war. Perhaps the best example of this is Rwanda where the war started just after the price of land in Rwanda became unsustainable for the majority of the population.

The main problems with reducing population are:
1. Christian fundamentalism. This is a big one. The US has withdrawn funding for billions of dollars of birth control programmes the world over because the belief that contraception is evil. They withdraw funding from any birth control programmes which support abortion even if the money doesn’t go towards the abortion part of the programme. The vatican has terrified millions of vulnerable Catholics into thinking that condoms are sinful and powerful Catholic lobbies are behind a lot of such US policy.
2. Economic myopia. People rant about pensions and bulges in demographic curves – yes – pensions are a problem if you reduce population. Not as much as a problem though as world wars, water shortages or the entire east coast of China being inundated by 20m of water for example.
3. Simply not seeing the obvious facts see here.

Thermostats

Why don’t thermostats ever do what they’re supposed to. One should be able to set the heating thermostat on 20 degrees and be done with for the whole year. Instead when it gets cold, you have to turn it up and when it gets warm, you have to turn it down.
Is it because they have a certain built-in tolerance otherwise they’d be going on and off endlessly when the stable temperature was reached?

Being vegetarian reduces your carbon footprint

Apart from the issues around cruelty to animals, which most people seem immune to, it seems being a meat eater is worse for the environment than driving an SUV. Methane, a product of animal farming is a much more powerful greenhouse gas than CO2. See the following links for details:
http://geosci.uchicago.edu/%7Egidon/papers/nutri/nutri3.pdf
http://www.fao.org/newsroom/en/news/2006/1000448/index.html
http://earthsave.org/globalwarming.htm

American climate-change denial propaganda

See the effects of big oil lobbying:
On the subject of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change report (Front page headlines).
Herald Tribune (American newspaper):
Next to a picture of rising sea-levels. Effect of global warming? Depends on whom you ask

BBC:
Humans blamed for climate change
So Al Gore was right (in an inconvenient truth):
Scientists involved in the discussions said thursday that the US delegation led by political appointees was pressing to play down language pointing to a link between intensification of hurricanes and warming caused by human activity. They have tended to highlight uncertainties on certain issues.